Investors are pouring into farmland in the U.S. and
parts of Europe, Latin America and Africa as global
food prices soar. A fund controlled by George
Soros, the billionaire hedge-fund manager, owns
23.4 percent of South American farmland venture
Adecoagro SA.
Hedge funds Ospraie Management LLC and Passport
Capital LLC as well as Harvard Universitys
endowment are also betting on farming. TIAA-CREF,
the $466 billion financial services giant, has $2
billion invested in some 600,000 acres (240,000
hectares) of farmland in Australia, Brazil and
North America and wants to double the size of its
investment.
Jim Rogers
I have frequently told people that one of the best
investments in the world will be farmland, says
Jim Rogers, 68, chairman of Singapore-based Rogers
Holdings, who predicted the start of the global
commodities rally in 1996. Youve got to buy in a
place where it rains, and you have to have a farmer
who knows what hes doing. If you can do that, you
will make a double whammy because the crops are
becoming more valuable.
The growth in demand for food, spurred by the
rising middle classes in China, India and other
emerging markets, shows no signs of abating. Food
prices in June, as measured by a United Nations
index of 55 food commodities, were just slightly
below their peak in February. The UNs Food and
Agriculture Organization said in a June report that
it expects food costs to remain high through 2012.
So many investors have rushed to capitalize on food
prices in the past three years that they may be
creating a farmland bubble. The Federal Reserve
Bank of Kansas City, which covers Colorado, Kansas,
Nebraska and other agricultural states, said in May
that farmland prices had surged 20 percent in the
first quarter compared with a year earlier.
Safe Haven
Yes, farmland will be a bubble again; all
agricultural products will be in a bubble again,
says Rogers, who is an investor in Agrifirma Brazil
Ltd., a South American farmland owner.
Hedge-fund manager Stephen Diggle calls farming the
ultimate safe haven. Diggle began buying farms with
his own money in 2008 after Lehman Brothers
Holdings Inc. (LEHMQ) filed for bankruptcy in
September of that year and the S&P 500 plunged 43
percent in the next six months. He purchased 8,000
acres in Uruguay, three smaller plots in southern
Illinois and an 80-acre New Zealand
kiwi-and-avocado orchard.
We really thought all the investment banks would
go under, says Diggle, who as a hedge-fund manager
uses options and warrants to bet on price swings in
the market. Everyone said, Buy gold. But at the
end of the day, you cant eat it. If everything
else goes and I just have these farms, it makes me
moderately wealthy.
Prosperous China
The hedge fund Diggle co-founded, Artradis Fund
Management Pte in Singapore, suffered about $700
million in losses. He closed it in March and opened
another Singapore-based hedge fund, Vulpes
Investment Management Pte. Diggle plans to
incorporate his five farms into an investment
management group run by Vulpes.
From his vantage point in Asia, where the British
expatriate has worked for the past two decades,
Diggle says hes witnessed aspiring locals eating
their way up the food chain.
You can see what a more prosperous China will
consume, Diggle, 47, says. It means more dairy,
more meat -- not just pork and chicken.
Investors find in farmland a respite from the
cyclical price swings of the commodities market.
Since 1970, there have been at least four price
jumps of at least 100 percent that were followed by
steep declines in the S&P agriculture commodities
index. By contrast, the average value of an acre of
farmland tracked by the U.S. Department of
Agriculture has been on a mostly steady climb from
$737 in 1980 to $2,350 in 2011.