Good Article on Construction stocks --http://seekingalpha.com/article/276407-engineering-and-construction-companies-may-be-poised-to-recover
This is the third in a series of articles on the
performance of stock sectors since the financial
crisis. The first article focused on steel
producers while the second article was on women's
apparel.
As with the first two articles, the goal is review
a sector where stock prices remain drastically
depressed from highs seen prior to the financial
crisis back in 2006-2008. In some cases, this might
be a sign that the sector was just overvalued back
then and hence the current price is deserved. In
other cases, this might signal that the sector has
plenty of room for recovery especially if the
global economy gets over the current soft patch.
For the Engineering & Construction (EC) sector, the
stocks have had a wild ride as global growth in
energy demand drove them to all time highs around
the end of 2007 and beginning of 2008 [except for
Foster Wheeler (FWLT)]. Considering global demand
has bounced back to new highs, its surprising that
this sector has yet to recover.
Unlike the steel producers highlighted in the first
article, the EC companies are very global and not
reliant on the slow growth in the US. An investor
might be surprised that Caterpillar (CAT) could
have recently hit an all time high while this
sector remains 60% below highs seem three years back.
Below is a recap of five of the leading EC
companies traded on U.S. exchanges. Since all of
the companies have different focuses whether
oil/gas, coal, nuclear, or infrastructure, it
probably isn't too surprising that they peaked at
various times over a roughly nine month period from
October 2007 to June 2008. Ironically, outside of
Flour (FLR), the other stocks are all down an equal
60% from the highs.
Flour - provides engineering, procurement,
construction, maintenance, and project management
services specifically focused on Oil & Gas and
Industrial & Infrastructure. FLR has a market cap
of $10.7B with revenue estimated at $23.4B for
2011. The company hit a high of $101.36 on June 23,
2008 and currently trades at $61. The stock is down
roughly 40% from that high.
Foster Wheeler - provides construction and
engineering services to the oil and gas, oil
refining, chemical/petrochemical, pharmaceutical,
environmental, and power plant operation. The
company has a market cap of $3.6B with estimated
revenue of $4.6B. Stock hit a high of $84.24 on
December 7, 2007 and currently trades at $29. FWLT
is down 63%.
Jacobs Engineering (JEC) - provides professional,
technical, and construction services in the
industrial, commercial, and government. It has a
market cap of $5.3B and estimated revenue of
$10.4B. Stock hit a high of $103.29 on January 3,
2008 and now trades at $41. JEC is down 60% from
that high.
McDermott (MDR) - operates as a engineering and
construction company in segments of Offshore Oil &
Gas Construction, Government and Power Generation.
It has a $4.4B market cap with an estimated $3.5B
in 2011 revenue. Stock hit a high of $67.14 on June
9, 2008 and now trades at $18.66. It is down 58%.
Shaw Group (SHAW) - provides technology,
procurement, construction, maintenance,
fabrication, manufacturing, consulting,
remediation, and facilities management services to
various industries including a large focus on
nuclear plant design and services. SHAW has a
market cap of $2.6B with estimated revenue around
$6.4B. Stock hit a high of $77.30 on October 26,
2007 and now trades at $32. Stock is down 58%.
Disclosure: I am long FWLT. Data sourced from Yahoo
Finance. The information and data is believed to be
accurate, but no guarantees or representations are
made. The information contained herein is for
informational purposes only and should not be
relied upon as advice.