Trading Wisdom of William Eckhardt
In reading "Profit from The Winner's Curse" by
Teresa Lo, she cites an interview with legendary
trader William Eckhardt. I remember reading the
interview many years ago, but I enjoyed reading
through them again.
Although I remember reading the interview many
years ago, I so much enjoyed it again. His
perspectives about trading are unique and offer
wisdom that you wont find anywhere else.
Here are just a few quotes that I think youll
enjoy:
"If a betting game among a certain number of
participants is played long enough, eventually one
player will have all the money. If there is any
skill involved, it will accelerate the process of
concentrating all the stakes in a few hands.
Something like this happens in the market. There
is a persistent overall tendency for equity to
flow from the many to the few. In the long run,
the majority loses. The implication for the trader
is that to win you have to act like the minority.
If you bring normal human habits and tendencies to
trading, you'll gravitate toward the majority and
inevitably lose." - William Eckhardt
"It's much easier to learn what you should do in
trading than to do it. Good systems tend to
violate normal human tendencies." - William
Eckhardt
"One common adage on this subject that is
completely wrongheaded is: you can't go broke
taking profits. That's precisely how many traders
do go broke. While amateurs go broke by taking
large losses, professionals go broke by taking
small profits. The problem in a nutshell is that
human nature does not operate to maximize gain but
rather to maximize the chance of gain. The desire
to maximize the number of winning trades (or
minimize the number of losing trades) works
against the trader. The success rate of trades is
the least important performance statistic and may
even be inversely related to performance." -
William Eckhardt
"The people who survive avoid snowball scenarios
in which bad trades cause them to become
emotionally destabilized and make more bad trades.
They are also able to feel the pain of losing. If
you don't feel the pain of a loss, then you're in
the same position as those unfortunate people who
have no pain sensors. If they leave their hand on
a hot stove, it will burn off. There is no way to
survive in the world without pain. Similarly, in
the markets, if the losses don't hurt, your
financial survival is tenuous." - William Eckhardt
"I know of a few multimillionaires who started
trading with inherited wealth. In each case, they
lost it all because they didn't feel the pain when
they were losing. In those formative first few
years of trading, they felt they could afford to
lose. You're much better off going into the market
on a shoestring, feeling that you can't afford to
lose. I'd rather bet on somebody starting out with
a few thousand dollars than on somebody who came
in with millions." - William Eckhardt
"In many ways, large profits are even more
insidious than large losses in terms of emotional
destabilization. I think it's important not to be
emotionally attached to large profits. I've
certainly made some of my worst trades after long
periods of winning. When you're on a big winning
streak, there's a temptation to think that you're
doing something special, which will allow you to
continue to propel yourself upward. You start to
think that you can afford to make shoddy
decisions. You can imagine what happens next. As a
general rule, losses make you strong and profits
make you weak." - William Eckhardt
"If you're playing for emotional satisfaction,
you're bound to lose, because what feels good is
often the wrong thing to do. Richard Dennis used
to say, somewhat facetiously, "If it feels good,
don't do it." In fact, one rule we taught the
Turtles was: When all the criteria are in balance,
do the thing you least want to do. You have to
decide early on whether you're playing for the fun
or for the success. Whether you measure it in
money or in some other way, to win at trading you
have to be playing for the success." - William
Eckhardt
"Trading is also highly addictive. When behavioral
psychologists have compared the relative
addictiveness of various reinforcement schedules,
they found that intermittent reinforcement -
positive and negative dispensed randomly (for
example, the rat doesn't know whether it will get
pleasure or pain when it hits the bar) - is the
most addictive alternative of all, more addictive
than positive reinforcement only. Intermittent
reinforcement describes the experience of the
compulsive gambler as well as the future trader.
The difference is that, just perhaps, the trader
can make money." However, as with most affective
aspects of trading, its addictiveness constantly
threatens ruin. Addictiveness is the reason why so
many players who make fortunes leave the game
broke." - William Eckhardt
"Don't think about what the market's going to do;
you have absolutely no control over that. Think
about what you're going to do if it gets there. In
particular, you should spend no time at all
thinking about those rosy scenarios in which the
market goes your way, since in those situations,
there's nothing more for you to do. Focus instead
on those things you want least to happen and on
what your response will be." - William Eckhardt
If you don't think these principles are true, you
haven't been trading very long. Print these out
and refer to them often.