The yield curve is what it is: It's a shorthand
guide to the stance of monetary policy.
It acquires its special, omniscient powers because
it represents the relationship between a rate set
by the central bank, with its magical powers to
create and destroy reserves, and a market rate,
which is where the supply and demand for credit
intersect.
Listening to Long Rates
So, will the yield curve act as a constraining
force on the Fed and forestall more than a couple
of additional rate increases?