The lowest P-E, 5, as of Dec. 31, belongs to
Louisiana- Pacific Corp. (LPX) of Nashville,
Tennessee. The company makes building materials
and industrial wood products.
I think Louisiana-Pacific is cheap because
investors figure that rising interest rates will
cripple construction in 2005. It's a reasonable
fear but, in my opinion, overdone.
USG, Tesoro, Intergraph
USG, a Chicago company that makes wallboard and
other construction materials, is on the Robot list
for a second year in a row. It sports a P-E of 6.
USG is cheap for the same reason as Louisiana-
Pacific, plus asbestos litigation fears. It is
operating in Chapter 11 even though it has almost
no debt, as a protection against thousands of
asbestos-related lawsuits. I think Congress will
provide some aid on this front, and I own USG for
most clients.
Tesoro Corp. (TSO), out of San Antonio, is a
refiner. The stock seems attractive at 6 times
earnings, 1.6 times book value (corporate net
worth per share) and 0.19 times revenue.
Intergraph Corp. (INGR) of Huntsville, Alabama,
sells software used for design, mapping and
modeling. The P-E is 7. I own it for some clients,
but you should be aware that the company posted
losses each year from 1993 through 1999.
Metal Management, LandAmerica Financial Group
Metal Management Inc. (MTLM), based in Chicago, is
a scrap metal recycler selling for 7 times
earnings. Clearly its fate is tied to the strength
of the economy. I figure the economy will slow
some in 2005, but it starts from a robust point.
Sixth-cheapest is LandAmerica Financial Group Inc.
(LFG), a Richmond, Virginia, title insurer that
has been in the Robot Portfolio each of the past
two years. It returned 51 percent in 2003 and 4.3
percent last year. Again, fear of the Fed is the
main reason the stock is so cheap (7 times
earnings). If rising rates hurt housing sales,
there will be less need for title insurance.
In the seventh spot is General Maritime Inc.
(GMR), a New York firm that operates a fleet of
oil tankers. I own it for some clients and
consider it a good three- to- five-year investment
at 7 times earnings.