In finance, the same caveats apply to companies
with substantial exposure to consumers with less-
than-sterling credit. With railroads, I'd avoid
companies where the potential damage to their
system outweighs the company's ability to increase
revenue by grabbing more traffic at higher prices.
So I'd avoid CSX (CSX:NYSE - news - research -
Cramer's Take) because of its geographical
exposure to system disruptions in the Southeast.
On the other hand, I'd look to add shares of
railroads with less regional exposure and better
management, such as Burlington Northern Santa Fe
(BNI:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) or
Canadian National Railway (CNI:NYSE - news -
research - Cramer's Take).
When the Economy Shifts
Second, look for companies positioned to profit
from the way that Katrina has shifted costs in the
economy. The rapid rise in the price of oil and
natural gas makes me look at shares of coal
companies. Coal had a substantial cost advantage
before Katrina. It looks even more attractive as
an alternative fuel after Katrina. Peabody Energy
(BTU:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) is
the obvious choice, but Penn Virginia Resources
(PVR:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take), with
its greater exposure to eastern coal (an advantage
if shipping is an issue for the long term) runs a
close second. Another place to look for companies
like this in is the utility sector. Here, a
utility such as FPL Group (FPL:NYSE - news -
research - Cramer's Take), the largest producer of
electricity from wind power in the U.S., looks
even more attractive in a post-Katrina economy.
General Cable (BGC:NYSE - news - research -
Cramer's Take), a supplier to the utility
industry, will see increased sales from
infrastructure rebuilding along the Gulf Coast and
from the continued push to increase the
electricity grid's capacity to ship power long
distances.
In the oil service sector I'd look for shares of
companies whose assets have escaped major damage
from Katrina and that are positioned to gain major
new work as the oil industry rebuilds. Cal Dive
International (CDIS:Nasdaq - news - research -
Cramer's Take), for example, has a fleet of manned
and robotic undersea construction vehicles that
exactly fit the needs of oil and gas companies in
the Gulf of Mexico.
Free of the Energy Drag
Third, and finally, I'd look to increase my
exposure to sectors of the economy widely known
for their lack of exposure to the price of energy.
If worries about the economy start to get really
serious, seeking refuge in stocks such as PepsiCo
(PEP:NYSE - news - research - Cramer's Take) and
United Natural Foods (UNFI:Nasdaq - news -
research - Cramer's Take) will start to look
increasingly attractive to larger numbers of
investors.
But if worries about the economy don't intensify,
I think the technology sector will be the place to
be for investors seeking to avoid rising energy
costs and looking for higher-than-average revenue
growth. Broadcom (BRCM:Nasdaq - news - research -
Cramer's Take) is my one pick in that sector right
now. But I'll be revisiting the sector this fall
when we know more about growth in the post-Katrina
economy.
New Developments on Past Columns
Good news from Marathon Oil's (MRO:NYSE - news -
research - Cramer's Take) preliminary assessment
of damage from Hurricane Katrina to the company's
Garyville, La., refinery. On Sept. 1, the company
reported that an initial inspection revealed no
damage to the processing units at the refinery.
The company is now in the midst of inspecting the
complete refinery prior to restart. If the
refinery passes that inspection, it could begin
the ramp to full production within three to five
days.
On a less positive note, the company's Kentucky
and Illinois refineries are currently running at
reduced rates due to the shutdown of the main
crude oil pipeline from the Gulf Coast to the
Midwest.