Because of the high degree of "linkage" between
the various markets, any financial downdraft won't
be restricted to the major stock indices, but
instead will likely precipitate a plunge across the
board, including for gold prices, he says.
Until lately, he recommended Goldcorp (GG -
Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), Agnico-Eagle (AEM -
Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), Yamana Gold (AUY -
Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), Silver Wheaton (SLW -
Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), Golden Star Resources
(GSS - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) and Newmont
Mining (NEM - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) as core
holdings, but now he believes they need to go.
Whether Barbera's view on gold turns out to be
correct, what is true is that the price action so
far this year has been nothing to write home about,
with sideways movements being the story since the
beginning of February.
Interest appears to have been waning. The tonnage
of gold bought in the first quarter was down 26%
from a year earlier, and more recently investors
bailed on the StreetTracks Gold Shares (GLD -
Cramer's Take - Stockpickr) exchange-traded fund,
causing it to liquidate almost 40 tons of its metal
inventory from mid-April through the end of May.
Subsequently, some gold has been reclaimed, but the
ETF's total holdings are not yet back to the high
of 501 tons reached April 17.
In addition, new figures from the U.S. Mint show
bullion coin sales for May were about half the
level of last year, and they look likely to be low
relative to June 2006, as well. These data points
are important because they reflect the sentiment of
investors, whose heavy buying over the past few
years helped drive gold prices to levels not seen
since 1980.