What will happen if and when China releases the
peg is unknowable; who among us predicted that the
response to the euro's introduction in January
1999 would be three years of unmitigated selling?
China has been flooded with speculative capital
waiting for a revaluation, and this capital could
jam the exits when it is allowed to leave. We tend
to forget in our new view of China that it is
still the People's Republic of China, and people's
republics of anything tend to have their own views
of property rights. This is not a warm and fuzzy
home for your money.